Fear is the current go to subject of the day. Most of us don’t outwardly admit to one another that we are scared. However, at the end of a conversation about politics, society, schools, vacation within or without our national borders, I find it common that people will sum up with something like, “I’m scared for… the future, our children’s future, the next generation…”
Today is Justin’s birthday, so as a gift I’m taking over the monthly letter duties this time around in hopes of giving him a bit of a break. Unfortunately for you all, that means less talk of markets and investments and more talk of compliance, regulations, and tax numbers. But, I’ll try to keep it relatively short and simple!
First, I’m sure most of you have seen or heard talk about the SECURE Act 2.0. The original SECURE Act was passed in 2019, and the 2.0 version was signed into law at the end of 2022. SECURE stands for Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement, and the main goals of the new regulations are to encourage people to save for retirement and to make retirement plans easier for employers to create and manage. SECURE 2.0 has many many provisions, and I wouldn’t be able to list them all out in a letter, or at least not in a letter anyone would want to read. But, I do want to mention some provisions that may apply to you or to someone in your family. “This is the most difficult time to forecast that I have ever experienced in my career.” – Brian Wesbury, First Trust Chief Economist Whenever I’m struggling to think of something to include in our letter, and I ask Kendall for ideas, he never fails to remind me “That’s how it was for me every time… I had writer’s block every single time.” Once my complaints get to a certain level, Libby will just lash out with a quick topic and expect me to move on. This time it was, “Don’t you usually do a forecast? Do that.”
Even though I say it so many times, to both myself and others, the time goes by so quickly. Yet I am still sometimes caught off guard noticing just how quickly each turning of the world, and its own orbiting around the sun, has happened. My son Carter just had his eighth birthday, and this year’s holiday season is already pounding at our front door. Each day, another couple of homes in my neighborhood are transformed into Christmas wonderlands, and my wife Robyn has been pressuring me since the end of Halloween to solidify Thanksgiving plans with everyone else.
I just recently started playing chess again with an old friend. We’ve had a good five year break, but we’ve been playing together since high school. Chess is good for your brain but can be bad for your ego. If someone sees you playing chess, they may think you’re a smart person. Little do they know how very wide the spectrum is from novice to super grandmaster. There are 400 possible positions for all of those pieces after each player has moved one time. There are roughly 3.25 billion different game configurations that are possible by the time each player has moved 7 times. Those numbers only go up from there, but the very best players will know how unimportant those numbers really are, because in most cases, the majority of those positions would probably be composed of bad moves.
Isn’t it funny how little it really takes to turn our frowns upside-down? Now, I have a very biased view on things. My profession requires me to pay attention to the financial markets, financial news, and popular news every day, and I can honestly tell you the amount of bad news has not decreased in the least these past couple of months. I know I’m preaching to the choir here. There’s a constant barrage of reports of violence, endless political bickering, an incessant muddying of truth, and a plethora of doomsayers selling the end. But… on top of all that hard-to-stomach news has been little sprinkled gumdrops of good (and/or not so bad) reports. If you merge that better news with the cooling temperatures, a return to opening schools matched with a formal lessening of COVID-19 restrictions, and stock markets heading in the right direction, the stage is set for a ready smile and upbeat step to the future.
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Kendall J. Anderson, CFA, Founder
Justin T. Anderson, President
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February 2024
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